The Socionomics of Civil War
The January Socionomist examines three of the bloodiest civil conflicts of the past 200 years, whose aftershocks continue to shape culture, politics and national identity. The issue uncovers the economic and market turns associated with civil war, what political and cultural signs accompany these critical low points in social mood, and even the circumstances which allow a nation to separate while avoiding civil war entirely. Click here to order and get instant access, or click here to learn more.
New issue of Progress in Socionomics is available
A brand new issue of the Socionomics Institute's Progress in Socionomics is available online. In this issue, you'll read about the institute's latest research, a socionomist who was recently recognized for his scholarly achievements, how university professors are using socionomics in the classroom, and more. Access the issue now.
Is Europe's Marriage Nearing Divorce?
Brian Whitmer, editor of Elliott Wave International’s European Financial Forecast, teams up with The Socionomist this December to produce the most important “State of the Union” address you’ll read this year. Whitmer gives you an arresting account of the social climate in Europe and shows how negative mood is driving apart the economies and politics of the European Union. Click here to order and get instant access, or click here to learn more.
Read Robert Prechter’s Landmark Report, Popular Culture and the Stock Market
In his 50-page special report, “Popular Culture & the Stock Market,” Robert Prechter offers a broad explanation of how social mood drives trends in markets, fashion, music and other social activities. The report proposes that you can hear changes in social mood just by turning on your radio. Although originally published in 1985, “Popular Culture and the Stock Market” is timeless and as relevant today as ever. Read it and see how this pioneering study in socionomics kicked off the research the Socionomics Institute conducts today.
A Study of Eugenics: Will You Make the Cut?
In the November issue of The Socionomist, the Socionomics Institute predicts a resurgence of eugenics in coming years as social mood turns increasingly bearish. Alan Hall, the study’s author, argues that eugenics is history’s clearest lesson in how societies “recast legitimate science, such as genetics, to justify class or race-based ideology” during deep social-mood declines. Hall shows parallels between the ebb and flow of the eugenics movement and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Click here to order and get instant access, or click here to learn more.
Hall discussed his study with writer Michael Surkan in a Practical Economics podcast. Listen in as Alan explains how the history of the eugenics movement relates to social mood.
Popular Programming, Melody and Mood
The October issue of The Socionomist walks you through the ups and downs of the DJIA – our most sensitive meter of social mood – and analyzes the popular music and television shows that reflect positive and negative mood trends. If you've ever wondered "whatever happened to all the good TV shows" or the bands you like, this issue reveals how social mood trends define the cultural trends you follow. Read more.
Robert Prechter Talks to Minyanville
Kevin Depew of Minyanville.com spoke with Robert Prechter this November on a wide range of topics in this 20 minute video interview, including what you can do to prepare for an economic collapse and why social mood is the primary driver of social events. Click here to watch.
The Road Ahead for Cars and Drivers
The lead study in the September 2009 Socionomist drives right to the heart of how social mood affects trends in auto design, driving habits, and even your safety on the road. Read more.
Part II: Alan Hall on Epidemic Disease
Socionomist Alan Hall continues his discussion with radio journalist Tom Jeffries about negative social mood and epidemics. Part II explores how changes in mood impact human immunity. Hall discusses potential threats on the horizon and provides charts that illustrate the timing of epidemics and their similarity to financial manias. Click Here To Listen.
Alan Hall on Epidemic Disease
Swine flu is a global pandemic. The World Health Organization warns that nations should prepare for a second wave of the virus. Socionomist Alan Hall talks to journalist Tom Jeffries about how periods of negative social mood are conducive to disease outbreaks. Listen to the interview now.
New DVD Available Now
The Institute’s long-awaited DVD, Toward a Science of Social Prediction: Robert Prechter at the London School of Economics, is now in stock. Learn More.
Fractals in the Human Social Experience
In the 1930s, Ralph Nelson Elliott discovered that aggregate stock market prices trend and reverse in recognizable patterns. In a series of books and articles published from 1938 to 1946, he described the stock market as a fractal. The stock market is just one area of the human social experience where fractals can be found. Read More.
Why Economists Don’t See Recessions…
Until It’s Too Late
“This expansion will run forever.” So said an MIT professor of economics in The Wall Street Journal. Think about it. A respected leader in the field comes to a conclusion about economic behavior that defies the entirety of history. Find out why economists have such a poor record of foreseeing financial crashes and economic recessions.
Einstein and the Study of “Psycho-Pathology”
Did Albert Einstein endorse socionomics? Pete Kendall provides a striking analysis of the impact social mood had on the life and career of one of the greatest thinkers of the 20th century. Find out what Pete has to say.
Prechter's Research Paper Proposes New Model of Finance
Robert Prechter’s paper, “The Financial/Economic Dichotomy in Social Behavioral Dynamics: The Socionomic Perspective,” is now available at no charge courtesy of our colleagues at the Socionomics Foundation. The paper, co-authored with Wayne D. Parker, was originally published in The Journal of Behavioral Finance. You can read the full paper by clicking here.
Socionomic Signposts are Everywhere
The latest installment in the Socionomics Audio Series features a conversation between the Institute’s Alan Hall and HoweStreet.com’s Tom Jeffries. Using real estate price data from North America, Japan and Holland, Alan reveals a common underlying psychological motivation behind real estate manias. The audio comes with five charts so you can see what Alan is talking about. Listen now.
The Socionomics Beginner's Guide
Knowledge is power. And socionomics is some powerful knowledge. To get the most out of it, some basic understanding is critical. Like a house's frame, the pillars of socionomics are crucial for supporting your knowledge of the science. So, if you’re new to socionomics or could use a refresher course, there’s now a Beginner's Guide on socionomics.net just for you. Get the blueprints now.
10 Minutes with Bob Prechter
Imagine if you could spend ten minutes with Bob Prechter. What would you ask him? Peabody Award winning journalist Don Shelby had just such an opportunity on the day the U.S. House of Representatives voted down the bailout bill. Don asked Bob about classic socionomic subjects like herding, the Wave Principle, and the government’s inability to influence long-term social trends. You can listen to the conversation now.
Click here to see a list of our speaking engagements.